MLB World Series Game 3 Preview & Betting Tips

MLB World Series betting tips, starting just 1am our time tonight is game 3 of the world series;  our man in know @DannyAction18 has written this in depth preview picked out his two stand out bets for tonight action, enjoy-

World Series Game 3 Preview

Boston Red Sox (-110) @ St. Louis Cardinals (-110)

Total: 7

After splitting the first two games in Boston, the World Series heads to Busch Stadium in St. Louis for game 3.

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Pitching Matchup:   Jake Peavy (Boston) vs. Joe Kelly (St. Louis)

The Red Sox acquired Jake Peavy during the regular precisely for this moment. The 11 year veteran Peavy will be making his first ever World Series start. During the regular season, he went 12-5 with an earned run average (ERA) of 4.17. He has made two post season starts so far.  Against Tampa Bay in the Divisional series he gave up just one run over 5.2 innings. His one start in the American League Championship Series was not as good as he gave up 7 runs in only three innings at Detroit. Since then, Peavy has had nine days to prepare for his World Series start.

For the 25 year old, Kelly, it has been an impressive second season in the Major Leagues. He went 10-5 with a 2.69 Earned Run Average. In the Post season, Kelly has pitched three times, once against Pittsburgh in the Divisional Series and twice against Los Angeles in the Championship Series. In his last start against the Los Angeles Dodgers, he pitched five innings giving up 4 runs on 7 hits. In his lone home start this post season, Kelly pitched six innings giving up 2 runs on 6 hits, also against Los Angeles in the Championship Series. Kelly also has had 9 days off since his last start.

Offensively, the Red Sox have an important decision to make at first base. As the home team in an American League Ballpark where the pitcher does not have to bat, the Red Sox have played Mike Napoli at First Base while having David Ortiz as the Designated Hitter. Ortiz is one of the greatest Designated Hitters of all time and has 17 career post season home runs. In a National League Ballpark, the pitcher must bat and there is no Designated Hitter. It’s hard to overstate the importance of Ortiz to the Red Sox lineup as he already has two home runs through the first two games of the series. Therefore, I expect the Red Sox to take a leap of faith in Ortiz’s defensive skills and give him the start at First Base with Napoli starting on the bench.

For St. Louis, a key player to watch will be First Baseman Allen Craig. Craig had a great regular season with a .315 batting average, but missed most of September with a foot injury. Through the first two games, Craig has two hits in seven at bats. If Craig can return to regular season form, he could take this Cardinals offense to a higher level and tip the scale in favor of St. Louis. 

Betting Advice:

Looking at this total, my first reaction was to play this game Over. These pitchers are not as good as what these two line ups have seen so far this series and should have more success at the plate. However, both Peavy and Kelly have had 9 days each to rest and prepare for this game, so I expect each pitcher to be throwing hard. Also, with the travel day on Friday, each teams Bullpen will be rested and ready if called upon. Instead of two accomplished batters as the Designated Hitters, the two pitchers will have to bat in the National League Ballpark. Plus, neither lineup is very familiar with the opposing pitcher. Only two players in the Red Sox lineup have ever faced Kelly, and the Cardinals lineup has only had a total of 20 At Bats against Peavy. I think the posted total of 7 is a pretty tight number, but I’ll have a small bet on Under 7 runs.

As for the side, I will be making a bet on the Boston Red Sox. These teams are very evenly matched, and each team has shown tremendous resilience in their ability to bounce back after a loss. Neither the Red Sox or Cardinals has lost two consecutive games this post season, and I expect Boston to continue that trend tonight. I think the veteran Peavy will be more prepared than the younger Kelly for this monumental stage, and lead the Red Sox to a 2-1 Series lead.

Total: UNDER 7 Runs Evens- Various Bookies

Side: Boston 10/11 – Various Bookies

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