With the release of the French Open draw today there have been some big movers from the anti-post prices and the tournament as a whole has been made much more intriguing with Djokovic and Nadal seeded to meet in the Semi finals.
The big winner here is without a doubt Roger Federer, and this is reflected by a crash in his price to around 16.0 to lay on the exchanges where he had previously been matched at as large as 34.0. He struggles with the match up against Nadal on clay but against Djokovic he finds it much easier to produce his best tennis and this was demonstrated in a stunning 4 set victory over the Serb here in 2011 when Djokovic was right at the peak of his form. No doubt he’ll be praying for a Djokovic win if he and Nadal do end up facing off in the Semi’s!
In the bottom half it will be Federer expected to progress to the semi finals relatively untroubled bar a potential clash with Tsonga in the quarters, but more interestingly from a punting point of view is the 3rd quarter where the winner is far less clear cut. Ferrer has had a solid year but his form of late hasn’t been as consistent as it was in 2012, and he is likely to get an early test in the form of Kevin Anderson who beat him comfortably in Indian Wells this year. Almagro is always a danger man if he hits top form with the big game he posseses, and looks capable of getting past Berdych who is likely to be tired from a horrific draw that probably includes Monfils, Gulbis and Robredo as his first three opponents. Anderson appears the best outsider for me, and hasn’t faced Federer before which might give him the element of suprise in the match up if they were to play. If Berdych fails to make the quarter final stage his chances increase significantly as he struggles with the match up against the Czech player and we can discount the previously well hyped Raonic who looks at war with himself every time he steps onto a tennis court.
Federer – 2 Points E/W at 10/1 with Willliam Hill – Click here to bet
Nadal remains the odds on favourite and justifiably with his outstanding record here, but Djokovic has got the edge in the head to head match up of late and if he can navigate a slightly more tricky path to the semi finals that would likely include Dimitrov and Tommy Haas who have both beaten him recently then I would certainly rather be on him at 5/2 (Boylesports) than Nadal at 8/11 (General).
For a more speculative EW bet, why not back the giant South African Kevin Anderson, he has a couple of wins on clay against strong opposition lately, would need a decent slice of luck to pay any return – but hey – he is 500/1! Also has a reasonable draw so should make it through the first couple of rounds.
Anderson – a speculative E/W point at 500/1 with Betfred – Click here to bet
Follow Author Mike here – @MikeyW87
Betfred are also running a special promotion for the French Open – If your player WINS the French Open without losing a set, they will DOUBLE the odds for the Women's winner and TREBLE the odds for the Men's winner! To Sign up with Betfred and take advantage of this fantasic offer, please JUST CLICK HERE.