Free Horse Racing Tips – Saturday 12th September

Another ultra-busy Saturday of horse racing free tips with the C4 cameras heading to Doncaster to take in four races, including the Ladbrokes-sponsored St Leger, plus they are also at Chester for two more races. We’ve got all the key race trends & stats, plus our verdict on each of the LIVE races and all the day's best bookmaker offers.

Horse racing tipping expert, Andy Newton, gives you his free horse racing tips, big race trends and best bets this Saturday (12th Sept) from Doncaster and Chester racecourses.

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Best Bookmaker Offers (Ts&C's apply)

WILLIAM HILL: If your horse comes second in any of the LIVE C4 races they will give you your money back (mobile, app, racing post app) (up to (£25)

PADDY POWER: Money back if your horse finishes second – ALL YORK RACES (up to £25)

BET365: Back any winner at 4/1 or bigger on any of the LIVE C4 races and they will give you a FREE BET to the same stake on the next live C4 race (up to £50)

BETFAIR SPORTSBOOK: Back any winner at 3/1 or bigger on any LIVE C4 race and they will give you a FREE BET to the same stake (up to £25) – Money back if your beaten into second by a horse priced 20/1 or bigger! Upto £25 on all UK flat and NH races.

CORAL: Money back if beaten into second by a HEAD(or less) up to £/€25 per race.

Doncaster Horse Racing Tips (C4/ATR)

2.00 – At The Races Champagne Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f CH4

13/14 – Returned  8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Won by a Feb or March foal
12/14 – Had over 7f before
12/14 – Won 1 or 2 times previously
11/14 – Favourites placed
11/14 – Finished third or better last time out
8/14 – Run at Sandown, Newbury, York or the Curragh last time out
8/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Raced 3 or more times that season
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/14 – Won by Godolphin
3/14 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard
2/14 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
1/14 – Winners from stall 1

Note: 2005 renewal was a dead-heat

VERDICT: The Richard Hannon yard have done well in this race in the past so his PALAWAN is the free horse racing tip here. A good winner last time out at Goodwood, the horse won’t mind if there is any rain, but acts on most ground types. Pat Dobbs rides.

2.35 – Ladbrokes Portland Handicap Cl2 5f140y CH4

13/13 – Carried 8-12 or more
11/13 – Won over 6f before
10/13 – Had run 5 or more times that season
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/13 – Winner rated between 95 and 101
10/13 – Came from a double-figure stall
9/13 – Won 4 or more times in their career
9/13 – Run at Doncaster previously
8/13 – Unplaced Favourites
6/13 – Placed in their last race
6/13 – Winners aged 5 years-old (inc 6 of 7 years)
6/13 – Raced in that season’s Great St Wilfrid (Ripon)
4/13 – Raced at Ripon last time out
3/13 – Won by the Kevin Ryan yard
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Won by the David Marnane yard

VERDICT: A tough race but there are plenty of trends to go on but the key stat looks to be that ALL of the last 13 winners carried 8-12 or more. With that in mind Suzi’s Connoisseur, Maljaa and HIGHLAND ACCLAIM (e/w) stand out, but with the last named getting the nod. The horse hails from the ever-popular David O’Meara yard and has been running very well all year. The horse was disqualified last time as the jockey failed to weigh-in with the correct weight, but was running on well that day and was a decent second the time before at York.

3.10 – The Saint Gobain Weber Park Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f CH4

11/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/12 – Run 3 or more times that season
10/12 – Run at either Goodwood (5), Newbury (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
10/12 – Won over 7f before
10/12 – Won 3 or more times before
9/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Unplaced in their most recent race
9/12 – Aged 4 or older
9/12 – Won a Group race previously
9/12 – Returned  7/1 or shorter
7/12 – Placed horses from stall 1
5/12 – Had run at Doncaster before
2/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Won by a previous winner of the race

VERDICT: The free horse racing tip here is Godolphin’s SAFETY CHECK. This 4 year-old was only a length down in third last time at Goodwood in the Lennox Stakes, behind Toormore. The winner has since franked the form and under William Buick everything points to a big run if running to that form again.

 3.45 – Ladbrokes St Leger Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m6f132y CH4

12/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/13 – Had 2 or 3 previous career wins
11/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Had never raced over 1m6f or further before
10/13 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
10/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Winning distance of 1 length or more
10/13 – Had won a Group race before
9/13 – Officially rated 109 to 115
9/13 – Had 4 or 5 previous runs that season
8/13 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
8/13 – Had won over at least 1m3f before
7/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Ran in the Great Voltigeur last time out (2 won it)
6/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/13 – USA-bred winners
3/13 – Ran in the Gordon Stakes last time out (2 won it)
3/13 – Trained by John Gosden
3/13 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/13 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/13 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/13 – Ridden by William Buick
1/13 – Winners from stall 1 Godolphin have won the race 6 times
Aidan O’Brien has trained 4 winners of the race
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 7/1

VERDICT: The final and oldest of the English Classics sees just 7 horses entered at this stage. The Aidan O’Brien team love to raid these shores to land this lucrative prize and they look to hold a big chance again with BONDI BEACH. This horse was a close second to another of today’s runners – Storm the Stars – when they met at York last month. There was only ½ a length in it that day, but Bondo Beach should have a bit more stamina this time over this longer trip and is taken to reverse the form. Simple Verse is interesting having been supplements for the race, but will need to step up again on her recent Group Three success to take this.

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Chester Horse Racing Tips (C4/RUK)

2.15 – Better Odds With Betfair Handicap Stakes Cl3 7f122y CH4

Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Carried 8-13 or more
5/5 – Came from stall 5 or higher
5/5 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
4/5 – Aged 4 years-old
3/5 – Returned a double-figure price
2/5 – Ridden by Franny Norton
2/5 – Carried 8-13
0/5 – Winning favourites

VERDICT: Just the 5 recent runs of this race to go on. However, the Ruth Carr team took the race 12 months ago and looks to have another good chance – this time with DUBAI DYNAMO (e/w). The horse was a good winner last time at Ripon and is only 3lbs higher this time. He’s a previous CD winner here at Chester and despite his advancing years is still showing a good attitude towards racing.

2.50 – The Betfair Stand Cup (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f66y CH4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Had raced within the last 3 weeks
9/9 – Had won at least twice before
8/9 – Came from the top three in the betting
7/9 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
7/9 – Had 2 or more runs that season
7/9 – Aged 5 or younger
7/9 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Rated between 102-110
6/9 – Won at Listed or Group class before
5/9 – Favourites that finished either 1st or 2nd
4/9 – Ran at York last time out
3/9 – Had run at Chester before
2/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Pat Chamings

VERDICT: Luca Cumani’s AJMAN BRIDGE deserves to win a race this season after some good runs in some of the top middle distance handicaps at the main festivals. The softer ground and the drop back in trip are not a problem and jockey Adam Kirby gets on well with the horse. Yes, this is a Listed class race, but it doesn’t look that strong with not a lot of depth and on these terms the Cumani horse looks to hold a good chance.



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