Greatwood Gold Cup Free Tips & Trends

2016 Classic Chase Free Tips and Trends

2016 Classic Chase Free Tips and Trends – This Saturday’s feature race is the Betfred-sponsored Classic Chase. This 3m5f gruelling Grade 3 handicap is run at Warwick racecourse every season in January and provides punters with another chance to see some potential Aintree Grand National hopefuls on show.

We take a look back at recent winners of the Betfred-sponsored race and give you the key betting stats, plus our free horse racing tip in the Classic Chase, this year in 2016 set to be run on Saturday 16th January.

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Recent Classic Chase Winners

2015 – HAWKES POINT (15/2)
2014 – SHOTGUN PADDY (9/1)
2013 – RIGADIN DE BEAUCHENE (5/1)
2012 – HEY BIG SPENDER (14/1)
2011 – WEST END ROCKER (10/1)
2010 – No Race
2009 – No Race
2008 – D’ARGENT (18/1)
2007 – LADALKO (9/2 fav)
2006 – EUROTREK (6/1)
2005 – BARON WINDRUSH (11/1)
2004 – SOUTHERN STAR (15/2)

Classic Chase Betting Trends and Stats

10/10 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m
9/10 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
7/10 –  Placed in the top 3 in their last race
7/10 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
7/10 – Officially rated between 129-140
7/10 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
7/10 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
6/10 – Won by an Irish bred horse
6/10 – Had run at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) in their last race
6/10 – Won between 2-5 times over fences before
6/10 –  Won by a horse aged 9 or older
6/10 – Had raced at Warwick (hurdles, chase NH Flat) previously
5/10 – Favourites unplaced
4/10 – Returned a double-figure price
3/10 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all failed to finish)
3/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Won their last race
2/10 – Trained by Alan King
2/10– Ridden by Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

FREE HORSE RACING TIP: An interesting renewal, and a very competitive one at that. The Paul Nicholls and Alan King yards have targeted this race with decent success in recent years – winning the race five times between them since 2006. With that in mind anything they send to post should be respected. Alan King’s SEGO SUCCESS (Bet here at 13/2 with Ladbrokes), who was a good winner at Doncaster last time out is certainly one for the shortlist and has been well supported in the week. He won by an easy 5 lengths that day, and despite being raised 7lbs for that win heads here on the up and looks a big player with conditions to suit. At this stage of the week Paul Nicholls has Black Thunder & VIVALDI COLLONGES (Bet here at 6/1 with Bet365) entered, with the last-named heading here off the back of a good win at Kelso. He’s still only 7 years-old and with just 4 career chase runs there should be more to come if he lines. Up. Looking at the key stats then we need to look for horses that have raced in the last 6 weeks or so, while 7-9 year-olds seems to have the best records. Looking at the key stats then we need to look for horses that have raced in the last 6 weeks or so, while 7-9 year-olds seems to have the best records. With that in mind Dan Skelton’s 8 year-old What A Good Night looks to have plenty in his favour. The horse was a neck winner last time out at Bangor, but the front two pulled well clear of the third that day so there could be more to come. Yes, an 8lb rise makes life harder, but conditions will suit and we think the extra yardage can eke out a bit more improvement too. However, the pick here is DE KERRY MAN (e/w) (Bet here at 9/1 with Bet365). This horse was in the process of running a massive race at Cheltenham last time when leading and then slipping on landing at the third from home. David Bridgewater’s charge gets in here with just 10-5 which is a big plus in these conditions and over this trip, while Jake Hodson takes off a further 5lbs. Add in that he’s a past course winner here at Warwick then this improving chaser, that has won 3 of his 4 completed starts over fences, looks a cracking e/w option in a tough race. 

 

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Thatsbettingtips Staff

Thatsbettingtips Staff

Content Contributor at Thatsbettingtips.com
The team behind the betting tips, offers and promotions at tipster website thatsbettingtips.com.