US Open 2013 – Can anyone stop Tiger?
Ignore Memorial this week and his 44 outward 9 on Saturday, prior to this week Tiger has won 4 events from 8 played this year to date, is he back? Errrrmm yes, in fact should Tiger continue in this vein of form, adding to his haul of majors this year, we could justifiably argue that he is back to his dominant best.
Bearing in mind his 50% win strike rate this season, I would not put anyone off backing him at the 4/1 he is widely available at; but in this article I hope to provide you with some anti-post value on players who could well shorten in price before the off, and in my opinion have a chance of securing a place minimum.
First a quick overview of the Merion Course – short and tight (6,996 yards) and a big favourite of golfing great Jack Nicklaus who suggests the course does not play that short “Merion has a few short holes, but a bunch of long tough holes, no way will it be too short” he recently said. No Par 5’s after the 4th hole of your round and some long par 3’s (and one short one just 115 yards!) suggest that par 4 scoring will be key, with a few of the Par 4’s measuring around 350-360 yards you can bet the fairways will be tight and rough up high. This layout should prove suitable for the mentally tough, who can grind out a score when lesser players get frustrated with the tight fairways, high rough and tricky pins.
Who do I think provides good value at their current prices, let’s take a look and all tips are Each Way.
Graeme McDowell – 33/1 Bet Victor- Click here to Open account and receive £25 free bet
McDowell has a great attitude for the US Open; he is street fighter of a golfer, who displays the same effort and concentration when hitting 83 or 63. Ranks 1st in driving accuracy scrambling and 11th in strokes gained putting on tour on tour in 2013, has won in on the PGA and European tour in the last 8 weeks and won the US Open in 2010 on a pebble beach course of a similar length and was runner up last year at Olympic, a must pick for me.
Matt Kuchar – 33/1 Betfred- Click here to Open an account and receive £50 free bet
Currently leading the Memorial having played 4 holes of the final round at time of writing, Kuchar has been fantastically consistent once again this year, winner of the WGC Match play and has 3 stroke play Top 10’s in addition this season. Memorial is playing tough and week and Kuchar has so far coped well, another player not easily fazed Kuchar has finished 6th, 20th, 27th in the last three US Opens, the 6th coming at Pebble Beach behind McDowell in 2010.
Martin Kaymer –66/1 Ladbrokes – Click here to Open account- bet £10 receive £30 free bets
Slowly but surely returning to form, recently secured a top 10 in the Byron Nelson on the PGA tour having had a couple in Europe at the start of the season, finished an impressive 15th in last year’s US open despite struggling for form. Already a major champion of course Kaymer has the steel and determination to deal with the tough conditions and is another who performed well at the US Open Pebble in 2010, finishing 8th.
Kevin Streelman – 100/1 Coral – Click here to Open an account and receive £50 free bet
A win and 3 other top 10’s in his last 8 starts on the PGA tour, one of the hottest players around at the moment and has game suited to the US Open, which is a major which is building a reputation of supplying first time major champions. The price looks very big when you consider these statistics, Ranks -18th in driving accuracy, 20th in GIR, 26th in strokes gained putting and 33rd in scrambling on tour this season, has struggled in previous US opens but this has been a breakout season for Streelman and he may just be ready to take a big one.
Kevin Chappell – 200/1 Ladbrokes – Click here to Open account- bet £10 receive £30 free bets
Currently playing well at the Memorial tournament, Chappell appears to thrive on tough layouts and has an excellent US Open record finishing T4th in 2011 and T10th in 2012, he also has 2 top 10’s this season to date. A real attraction for me is that Chappell is ranked 2nd in approaches between 50-125 yards this season, on a course with a number of short par 4’s that is of real interest, also ranked 47th in Par scoring, 26th in total driving and 60th in scrambling, big price.
You can’t tip everyone, so I elected not to back the two selections below; despite the fact I was interested in the players at the price.
Others to consider –
Stenson at 66/1 Betfred – Click here to Open an account and receive £50 free bet
Excellent form this season, had a top 10 in the US Open in 2009 but I would prefer his chances on a longer course more reliant on his recent excellent ball striking – but don’t rule him out.
David Toms at 150/1 William Hill- Click here to Open an account and receive a £25 free bet
No real form to speak of, but always someone to watch out for on a tough layout where accuracy is King, 9th in driving accuracy and 29th in Par 4 scoring – does not make my first 5 due to lack of current form; would be of little surprise if he placed or top 10.
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