2015 King George VI Chase Betting Tips and Trends
Staged each year at Kempton Park racecourse at Christmas on Boxing Day (26th Dec) the King George VI Chase is the highlight contest on the festive racing calendar – we've got our free King George horse racing tips and key betting trends ahead of the big race.
With star names like Desert Orchid, One Man and, more recently, Kauto Star, who won the King George Chase a staggering five times, amongst the household names to land these decent pot then the 3m Grade One race never fails to attract the best longer distance chasers in training, and is often seen as a good guide to that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup.
We take a look back at recent winners and highlight the key stats to take into the 2014 renewal – this year run on Saturday Dec 26th.
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Saturday 26th December 2016
3.10 – William Hill King George VI Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 3m CH4
Past King George VI Chase Winners
2014 – Silviniaco Conti (15/8 fav)
2013 – Silviniaco Conti (7/2)
2012 – Long Run (15/8 fav)
2011 – Kauto Star (3/1)
2010 – Long Run (9/2)
2009 – Kauto Star (8/13 fav)
2008 – Kauto Star (10/11 fav)
2007 – Kauto Star (4/6 fav)
2006 – Kauto Star (8/13 fav)
2005 – Kicking King (11/8 fav)
2004 – Kicking King (3/1 fav)
2003 – Edredon Bleu (25/1)
2002 – Best Mate (11/8 fav)
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Sandown Park
King George VI Chase Trends
13/13 – Had won a Grade One chase before
13/13 – French (10) or Irish bred (3)
12/13 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Placed favourites
12/13 – Finished in the top three last time out
11/13 – Officially rated 169 or higher
11/13 – Had won over 3m or further (fences) before
10/13 – Aged 8 or younger
10/13 – Had won a race over fences at Kempton before
9/13 – Winning favourites
8/13 – Won last time out
8/13 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/13 – Ran in the Betfair Chase (Haydock) last time out
7/13 – Won by a previous winner of the race
7/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (9 times in all)
5/13 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/13 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/13 – Ridden by Noel Fehily
2/13 – Won by an Irish-based yard
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 7/2
Onto the ‘big one’ and the race the ‘once-a-year’ festive punters try and get the bookies to pay for their turkeys. In recent years it’s actually been a fairly easy way to get a few of those Christmas expenses paid for with 9 of the last 13 favourites going in.
NH fans have certainly had it good in this race and with the likes of Kauto Star reeling off a record-breaking five wins, plus Long Run and Kicking King winning the prize twice then it’s been a good race for past winners. With that in mind the winner of the race for the past two seasons – Silviniaco Conti – is sure to be popular again despite his recent defeat in the Betfair Chase.
This 9 year-old will be looking to land the prize for an astonishing tenth time for his trainer Paul Nicholls, while since 2006 there has only been two winning stables of the race – Nicholls (7) and Henderson (2).
There are plenty of other key stats that should help you whittle down the runners, like ALL of the last 13 winners being a previous winner of a Grade One chase and either French or Irish bred.
12 of the last 13 victors had raced in the last five weeks, while 8 of those 13 contested the Betfair Chase at Haydock last time out. Silviniaco Conti and Cue Card will be big players based on those stats, but with them both being 9 year-olds they do fall down on the age trend – 10 of the last 13 winners were aged 8 or younger.
The last Irish-trained winner was Kicking King in 2005, but they look to have a strong-hand of improving that with the likes of Don Cossack (8 years-old) and Vautour (6 years-old) should they line-up – Vautour will be hoping to follow the likes of Kauto Star, Long Run and Kicking King – who all won this race as a 6 year-old, plus he’ll also be looking to give trainer Willie Mullins his second winner, with his last coming in 2001 with Florida Pearl. However, he’s yet to win over 3m and with 11 of the last 13 having that trend on their side then he does have this negative to overcome.
FREE HORSE RACING TIP: SILVINIACO CONTI (e/w) (Bet here at 8/1 with Betfred)
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Thatsbettingtips Staff
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